AUDUSD hits 9-month low Ahead of the Unemployment Rate

AUDUSD hits 9-month low Ahead of the Unemployment Rate

2023-08-16 • Updated

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has opted to keep interest rates steady at 4.1% for the second consecutive month, signaling a new phase in its approach to tackling inflation. The RBA's governor, Philip Lowe, referred to this stage as the "calibration phase," where the central bank makes subtle adjustments to its policy. Despite rising unemployment to 4.2% and an annual inflation rate of 6%, the RBA believes its past rate hikes will continue to curb inflation. The RBA's strategy involves gradually allowing previous interest rate changes to impact the economy. While further rate hikes are possible, they would likely be delayed until later in the year.

AUDUSD - D1 Timeframe

AUDUSDDaily-1608.png

After a record swoop in the price action, the AUDUSD might be prepping for a rebound. The current price action on AUDUSD suggests that the marked demand zone on the attached chart would be the major turning point in the price action as we await the fundamental confluence in line with this sentiment. In the meantime, the confirmations for this trade include;

  • Trendline support;
  • Pivot zone on the daily timeframe.

Analyst’s Expectations: 

Direction: Bullish

Target: 0.66323

Invalidation: 0.63872

GBPAUD - D1 Timeframe

 GBPAUDDaily-1608.png

GBPAUD is trading within the weekly supply zone, having recently broken above the trendline resistance. I believe the break above the trendline is simply an induced move to trap sellers and shake off several of them before the bearish move actually begins. On this basis, I will be waiting to see a clear entry condition on the lower timeframe due to a change in the market structure before I take an entry.

Analyst’s Expectations: 

Direction: Bearish

Target: 1.93961

Invalidation: 1.98973

AUDCAD - W1 Timeframe

 AUDCADWeekly-1608.png

AUDCAD has a few confluences that clearly state the market intent as bullish. First, the price currently trading within the demand zone from the previous low. This movement is also supported by the trendline support and 88% of the Fibonacci retracement tool. In this regard, a structural confirmation on the lower timeframe would trigger to go long.

Analyst’s Expectations: 

Direction: Bullish

Target: 0.89023

Invalidation: 0.85948

CONCLUSION

The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.

TRY TRADING NOW

You can access more of such trade ideas and prompt market updates on the telegram channel.

Similar

CAD: Markets Await GDP Release
CAD: Markets Await GDP Release

During the Asian session on Wednesday, the USD/CAD pair rebounded after two days of losses, reaching around 1.3590. This uptick is fueled by a stronger US dollar and lower crude oil prices, which put pressure on the Canadian dollar. The decline in Western Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil prices to approximately $80.70 is attributed to...

Trade of The Week: AUDNZD Trade Breakdown
Trade of The Week: AUDNZD Trade Breakdown

The Australian Dollar (AUD) rebounds on Monday, despite a slight dip in the US Dollar (USD) and higher US Treasury yields. Investors are eyeing Australian monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February and US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q4 2023. The AUD gains momentum as the ASX 200 Index rises, especially in mining and energy sectors. Additionally, the Aussie...

XAUUSD: Markets Slow Down Ahead of NFP
XAUUSD: Markets Slow Down Ahead of NFP

Gold prices rose on Monday as the US Dollar weakened amidst speculation about potential Federal Reserve rate cuts starting in June. This weakened Dollar was partly due to improved risk sentiment pushing US Treasury yields lower. Despite facing challenges from declining yields, gold prices recovered to nearly $2,170 per troy ounce, driven by the Dollar's weakness. Federal Reserve Chair...

Latest news

USD: Powell Speaks on Cutting Interest Rates
USD: Powell Speaks on Cutting Interest Rates

Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...

WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April
WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April

Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.

Deposit with your local payment systems

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.

Callback

A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera